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THE
LOGIC OF CAUSATION
©
Avi Sion, 1999. All rights reserved.
Phase One: Macroanalysis
Chapter
6 - List
of Positive Moods.
1.
Valid and Invalid Moods.
2.
Moods in Figure 1.
3.
Moods in Figure 2.
4.
Moods in Figure 3.
1.
Valid and Invalid Moods.
As we have seen in the preceding chapter, causative syllogism with both
premises affirmative has 64 conceivable moods in each of three figures. In the
present chapter, we shall list all these moods, and for each mood specify
whether it is valid or invalid, and briefly the basis of this evaluation.
For any positive mood, there are four initially conceivable, putative
conclusions, corresponding to the four generic determinations, which we have
symbolized as m (for complete
causation), n (for necessary
causation), p (for partial causation)
and q (for contingent causation).
However, at most two such conclusions may be valid for any given mood, since the
determinations m and p
are contrary and n and q are contrary.
Thus, there are eight logically possible conclusions for any positive causative
syllogism, namely:
mn, mq, pn, pq, m, n, p, q.
A putative conclusion is valid
- if it logically follows from the given premises, i.e. if its contradictory is
logically incompatible with them or any of their implications. A putative
conclusion is declared invalid - if
it is not valid, for whatever reason; the reason may be that the premises
themselves are inconsistent, or that the contradictory of the putative
conclusion is compatible with them (in which case the putative conclusion is a
non-sequitur), or that the putative conclusion is incompatible with the premises
(in which case the putative conclusion is an antinomy and its contradictory is
valid).
If one of the eight joint or generic determinations is demonstrably
inferable from the premises concerned, the mood is valid. If none of them can be
legitimately drawn from the premises, the mood is invalid. Additionally, some
moods are invalid at the outset because the premises concerned are in fact
incompatible in some respect(s); i.e. at least one clause of each is implicitly
denied by at least one clause of the other.
We shall, to repeat, in the present chapter only list the moods and their
valid conclusion(s) if any, and state succinctly the basis of these results. In
the next two chapters, we will show how these results were obtained,
systematically and in detail; i.e. we will justify our claims.
Note that, in accord with the tradition in logic, if a mood is valid,
only the correct conclusion(s) is/are mentioned in the listing; other
conclusions, not mentioned, are tacitly implied to be incorrect. But it is well
to keep both the valid and invalid
conclusions in mind; for the purpose of the whole exercise is not only to
instruct us in proper reasoning, but also to save us from improper reasoning!
As will be seen, some conclusions have to be validated or invalidated by
matricial analysis; moods with at least one conclusion treated by matricial
analysis may be called primary. The remaining conclusions may be validated or
invalidated by reduction to the primary moods; moods all of whose conceivable
conclusions have been treated by reduction may be called secondary or derived.
As for moods invalid due to inconsistency between the premises, they need
not of course be subjected to matricial analysis or reduction. Note that it may
be possible to affirm or deny some conclusion(s) from some of their clauses, if the inherent contradiction is disregarded;
but that would be nonsensical, for if all the clauses are taken into consideration, we have to admit that
the premises in question cannot in fact come together to yield such
conclusion(s).
All evaluations could be performed by matricial analysis; but this
process is long-winded, so we try and avoid it as much as possible. Such
avoidance is anyway not sheer laziness on our part, for it is instructive to be
aware of the interrelations between moods which reduction reveals. We learn, in
this way, that causative syllogisms together constitute a close-knit totality, a
system.
It should be stressed that the issue of direction
of causation is ignored throughout the present formal treatment. In figure
1, this is no problem; i.e. given the directions of causation implied in the
premises (namely, from P to Q and from Q to R), the direction of causation
implied in an eventual valid conclusion (viz. from P to R) follows necessarily.
But in figures 2 and 3, any eventual valid conclusions must be regarded as conditionally
valid, i.e. on the proviso that the implied direction of causation (viz. from P
to R) is established by other means.
However, if it turns out that a figure 2 or 3 conclusion is found not to satisfy this condition, the underlying implications between
the items concerned (P and R) may still in
certain cases result in a causative conclusion in the reverse direction.
Such cases are formally predictable, simply by transposition of the premises concerned. If such transposition has
some causative conclusion, then the direction of causation implied by that
conclusion (i.e. from R to P) will be unconditionally valid. For if there is
causation between P and R, it is bound to be in one direction or the other.
a.
Strong determinations. If two premises yield the conclusion 'P is a
complete cause of R', then their transposition will yield the converse
conclusion 'R is a necessary cause of P'. If we do not know the direction of
causation, we cannot know which of these conclusions is the correct one, but we do
know that at least one of them must be. If we know that it is not this one, then
we know it must be that one. Similarly, with the eventual conclusions 'P is a
necessary cause of R' and 'R is a complete cause of P'.
b.
Weak determinations. If two premises yield the conclusion 'P
(complemented by S) is a partial cause of R', and this conclusion is found
unjustified with regard to the issue of direction of causation, then its
converse has to be admitted as valid, viz. 'R (complemented by notS) is a
contingent cause of P' (note well the change of polarity of the complement).
Similarly, if we know that an eventual conclusion of the form 'P (complemented
by S) is a contingent cause of R' is inapplicable with respect to the issue of
direction of causation, then we may affirm 'R (complemented by notS) is a
partial cause of P' instead.
The following statistics,
based on the listings below, are of interest:
·
In figure 1, out of 64 conceivable positive
moods, 30 are valid and 34 are invalid (of which 10, due to inconsistency in the
premises).
·
In figure 2, out of 64 conceivable positive
moods, 18 are valid and 46 are invalid (of which 6, due to inconsistency in the
premises).
·
In figure 1, out of 64 conceivable positive
moods, 18 are valid and 46 are invalid (of which 10, due to inconsistency in the
premises).
Thus, out of the 192 positive moods considered, 66
(34%) are valid and 126 (66%) are invalid. Obviously, in view of this
validity rate, such reasoning cannot be left to chance!
2.
Moods in Figure 1.
|
§1.
Mood No. 111 = mn/mn/mn.
|
VALID
|
|
Q is a complete and necessary
cause of R;
P is a complete and necessary
cause of Q;
so,
P is a complete and necessary cause of R.
|
by
reduction to moods 155, 166.
|
|
No
mirror mood.
|
|
§2.
Mood No. 112 = mn/mq/mq.
|
VALID
|
|
Q is a complete and necessary
cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
complete and contingent cause of Q;
so,
P (complemented by S) is a complete and contingent cause of R.
|
by
reduction to moods 118, 155.
|
|
No.
113 = mn/pn/pn (similarly,
through 117, 166).
|
|
§3.
Mood No. 121 = mq/mn/mq.
|
VALID
|
|
Q (complemented by S) is a
complete and contingent cause of R;
P is a complete and necessary
cause of Q;
so,
P (complemented by S) is a complete and contingent cause of R.
|
by
reduction to moods 155, 181.
|
|
No.
131 = pn/mn/pn (similarly,
through 166, 171).
|
|
§4.
Mood No. 122 = mq/mq.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q (complemented by P) is a
complete and contingent cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
complete and contingent cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
due
to inconsistency of premises.
|
|
No.
133 = pn/pn (similarly).
|
|
§5.
Mood No. 123 = mq/pn.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q (complemented by P) is a
complete and contingent cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial and necessary cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
due
to inconsistency of premises.
|
|
No.
132 = pn/mq (similarly).
|
|
§6.
Mood No. 114 = mn/pq/pq.
|
VALID
|
|
Q is a complete and necessary
cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial and contingent cause of Q;
so,
P (complemented by S) is a partial and contingent cause of R.
|
by
reduction to moods 117, 118.
|
|
No
mirror mood.
|
|
§7.
Mood No. 141 = pq/mn/pq.
|
VALID
|
|
Q (complemented by S) is a
partial and contingent cause of R;
P is a complete and necessary
cause of Q;
so,
P (complemented by S) is a partial and contingent cause of R.
|
by
reduction to moods 171, 181.
|
|
No
mirror mood.
|
|
§8.
Mood No. 124 = mq/pq/q.
|
VALID
|
|
Q (complemented by P) is a
complete and contingent cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial and contingent cause of Q;
so,
P (complemented by S) is a contingent cause of R.
|
by
reduction to 128 or 184 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
134 = pn/pq/p (similarly,
through 137 or 174 and MA).
|
|
§9.
Mood No. 142. pq/mq.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q (complemented by P) is a
partial and contingent cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
complete and contingent cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
due
to inconsistency of premises.
|
|
No.
143 = pq/pn (similarly).
|
|
§10.
Mood No. 144 = pq/pq/pq.
|
VALID
|
|
Q (complemented by P) is a
partial and contingent cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial and contingent cause of Q;
so,
P (complemented by S) is a partial and contingent cause of R.
|
by
reduction to moods 147+148, or 174+184.
|
|
No
mirror mood.
|
|
§11.
Mood No. 115 = mn/m/m.
|
VALID
|
|
Q is a complete and necessary
cause of R;
P is a complete cause of Q;
so,
P is a complete cause of R.
|
by
reduction to moods 111, 112, 155.
|
|
No.
116 = mn/n/n (similarly,
through 111, 113, 166).
|
|
§12.
Mood No. 151 = m/mn/m.
|
VALID
|
|
Q is a complete cause of R;
P is a complete and necessary
cause of Q;
so,
P is a complete cause of R.
|
by
reduction to moods 111, 121, 155.
|
|
No.
161 = n/mn/n (similarly,
through 111, 131, 166).
|
|
§13.
Mood No. 125 = mq/m/m.
|
VALID
|
|
Q (complemented by S) is a
complete and contingent cause of R;
P is a complete cause of Q;
so,
P is a complete cause of R.
|
by
reduction to 121, 155 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
136 = pn/n/n (similarly,
through 131, 166 and MA).
|
|
§14.
Mood No. 126 = mq/n.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q (complemented by S) is a
complete and contingent cause of R;
P is a necessary cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
reduction to mood 121 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
135 = pn/m (similarly,
through 131 and MA).
|
|
§15.
Mood No. 152 = m/mq/m.
|
VALID
|
|
Q is a complete cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
complete and contingent cause of Q;
so,
P is a complete cause of R.
|
by
reduction to 112, 155 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
163 = n/pn/n (similarly,
through 113, 166 and MA).
|
|
§16.
Mood No. 153 = m/pn.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q is a complete cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial and necessary cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
reduction to mood 113 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
162 = n/mq (similarly,
through 112 and MA).
|
|
§17.
Mood No. 117 = mn/p/p.
|
VALID
|
|
Q is a complete and necessary
cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial cause of Q;
so,
P (complemented by S) is a partial cause of R.
|
by
reduction to 113, 114 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
118 = mn/q/q (similarly,
through 112, 114 and MA).
|
|
§18.
Mood No. 171 = p/mn/p.
|
VALID
|
|
Q (complemented by S) is a
partial cause of R;
P is a complete and necessary
cause of Q;
so,
P (complemented by S) is a partial cause of R.
|
by
reduction to 131, 141 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
181 = q/mn/q (similarly,
through 121, 141 and MA).
|
|
§19.
Mood No. 127 = mq/p.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q (complemented by P) is a
complete and contingent cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
reduction to mood 124 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
138 = pn/q (similarly,
through 134 and MA).
|
|
§20.
Mood No. 128 = mq/q/q.
|
VALID
|
|
Q (complemented by P) is a
complete and contingent cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
contingent cause of Q;
so,
P (complemented by S) is a contingent cause of R.
|
by
reduction to 122, 124 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
137 = pn/p/p (similarly,
through 133, 134 and MA).
|
|
§21.
Mood No. 172 = p/mq.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q (complemented by P) is a
partial cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
complete and contingent cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
due
to inconsistency of premises.
|
|
No.
183 = q/pn (similarly).
|
|
§22.
Mood No. 173 = p/pn.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q (complemented by P) is a
partial cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial and necessary cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
due
to inconsistency of premises.
|
|
No.
182 = q/mq (similarly).
|
|
§23.
Mood No. 145 = pq/m.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q (complemented by S) is a
partial and contingent cause of R;
P is a complete cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
reduction to mood 141 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
146 = pq/n (similarly,
through 141 and MA).
|
|
§24.
Mood No. 154 = m/pq.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q is a complete cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial and contingent cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
reduction to 114, 124 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
164 = n/pq (similarly,
through 114, 134 and MA).
|
|
§25.
Mood No. 147 = pq/p/p.
|
VALID
|
|
Q (complemented by P) is a
partial and contingent cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial cause of Q;
so,
P (complemented by S) is a partial cause of R.
|
by
reduction to mood 144 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
148 = pq/q/q (similarly,
through 144 and MA).
|
|
§26.
Mood No. 174 = p/pq/p.
|
VALID
|
|
Q (complemented by P) is a
partial cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial and contingent cause of Q;
so,
P (complemented by S) is a partial cause of R.
|
by
reduction to mood 134 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
184 = q/pq/q (similarly,
through 124 and MA).
|
|
§27.
Mood No. 155 = m/m/m.
|
VALID
|
|
Q
is a complete cause of R;
P
is a complete cause of Q;
so,
P is a complete cause of R.
|
by
reduction to 111, 112 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
166 = n/n/n (similarly,
through 111, 113 and MA).
|
|
§28.
Mood No. 156 = m/n.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q is a complete cause of R;
P is a necessary cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is a cause of R? No!
|
by
reduction to moods 111, 113, 121.
|
|
No.
165 = n/m (similarly, through
111, 112, 131).
|
|
§29.
Mood No. 157 = m/p.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q is a complete cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
reduction to moods 113,
114, 124.
|
|
No.
168 = n/q (similarly, through
112, 114, 134).
|
|
§30.
Mood No. 158 = m/q.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q is a complete cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
contingent cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
reduction to moods 112, 114, 152.
|
|
No.
167 = n/p (similarly, through
113, 114, 163).
|
|
§31.
Mood No. 175 = p/m.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q (complemented by S) is a
partial cause of R;
P is a complete cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
reduction to moods 131, 135.
|
|
No.
186 = q/n (similarly, through
121, 126).
|
|
§32.
Mood No. 176 = p/n.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q (complemented by S) is a
partial cause of R;
P is a necessary cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
reduction to moods 131, 136, 141.
|
|
No.
185 = q/m (similarly, through
121, 125, 141).
|
|
§33.
Mood No. 177 = p/p.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q (complemented by P) is a
partial cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
reduction to 133, 134 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
188 = q/q (similarly, through
122, 124 and MA).
|
|
§34.
Mood No. 178 = p/q.
|
INVALID
|
|
Q (complemented by P) is a
partial cause of R;
P (complemented by S) is a
contingent cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
reduction to moods 134, 138.
|
|
No.
187 = q/p (similarly, through
124, 127).
|
3.
Moods in Figure 2.
|
§1.
Mood No. 211 = mn/mn/mn.
|
VALID
|
|
R is a complete and necessary
cause of Q;
P is a complete and necessary
cause of Q;
so,
P is a complete and necessary cause of R.
|
by
reduction to mood 111.
|
|
No
mirror mood.
|
|
§2.
Mood No. 212 = mn/mq/mq.
|
VALID
|
|
R is a complete and necessary
cause of Q;
P (complemented by S) is a
complete and contingent cause of Q;
so,
P (complemented by S) is a complete and contingent cause of R.
|
by
reduction to mood 112.
|
|
No.
213 = mn/pn/pn (similarly,
through 113).
|
|
§3.
Mood No. 221 = mq/mn/n.
|
VALID
|
|
R (complemented by S) is a
complete and contingent cause of Q;
P is a complete and necessary
cause of Q;
so,
P is a necessary cause of R.
|
by
reduction to mood 256 and by matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
231 = pn/mn/m (similarly,
through 265 and MA).
|
|
§4.
Mood No. 222 = mq/mq.
|
INVALID
|
|
R (complemented by P) is a
complete and contingent cause of Q;
P (complemented by S) is a
complete and contingent cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
233 = pn/pn (similarly,
through MA).
|
|
§5.
Mood No. 223 = mq/pn.
|
INVALID
|
|
R (complemented by P) is a
complete and contingent cause of Q;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial and necessary cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
due
to inconsistency of premises.
|
|
No.
232 = pn/mq (similarly).
|
|
§6.
Mood No. 214 = mn/pq/pq.
|
VALID
|
|
R is a complete and necessary
cause of Q;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial and contingent cause of Q;
so,
P (complemented by S) is a partial and contingent cause of R.
|
by
reduction to mood 114.
|
|
No
mirror mood.
|
|
§7.
Mood No. 241 = pq/mn.
|
INVALID
|
|
R (complemented by S) is a
partial and contingent cause of Q;
P is a complete and necessary
cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
matricial analysis.
|
|
No
mirror mood.
|
|
§8.
Mood No. 224 = mq/pq.
|
INVALID
|
|
R (complemented by P) is a
complete and contingent cause of Q;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial and contingent cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
matricial analysis.
|
|
No.
234 = pn/pq (similarly,
through MA).
|
|
§9.
Mood No. 242. pq/mq.
|
INVALID
|
|
R (complemented by P) is a
partial and contingent cause of Q;
P (complemented by S) is a
complete and contingent cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
due
to inconsistency of premises.
|
|
No.
243 = pq/pn (similarly).
|
|
§10.
Mood No. 244 = pq/pq.
|
INVALID
|
|
R (complemented by P) is a
partial and contingent cause of Q;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial and contingent cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
matricial analysis.
|
|
No
mirror mood.
|
|
§11.
Mood No. 215 = mn/m/m.
|
VALID
|
|
R is a complete and necessary
cause of Q;
P is a complete cause of Q;
so,
P is a complete cause of R.
|
by
reduction to mood 115.
|
|
No.
216 = mn/n/n (similarly,
through 116).
|
|
§12.
Mood No. 251 = m/mn/n.
|
VALID
|
|
R is a complete cause of Q;
P is a complete and necessary
cause of Q;
so,
P is a necessary cause of R.
|
by
reduction to mood 161.
|
|
No.
261 = n/mn/m (similarly,
through 151).
|
|
§13.
Mood No. 225 = mq/m.
|
INVALID
|
|
R (complemented by S) is a
complete and contingent cause of Q;
P is a complete cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
reduction to moods 221, 222.
|
|
No.
236 = pn/n (similarly,
through 231, 233).
|
|
§14.
Mood No. 226 = mq/n/n.
|
VALID
|
|
R (complemented by S) is a
complete and contingent cause of Q;
P is a necessary cause of Q;
so,
P is a necessary cause of R.
|
by
reduction to moods 221, 256.
|
|
No.
235 = pn/m/m (similarly,
through 231, 265).
|
|
§15.
Mood No. 252 = m/mq.
|
INVALID
|
|
R is a complete cause of Q;
P (complemented by S) is a
complete and contingent cause of Q;
does
it follow that P is (complemented by S) a cause of R? No!
|
by
reduction to mood 162.
|
|
No.
263 = n/pn (similarly,
through 153).
|
|
§16.
Mood No. 253 = m/pn/n.
|
VALID
|
|
R is a complete cause of Q;
P (complemented by S) is a
partial and necessary cause of Q;
so,
P is a necessary cause of R.
|
by
reduction to mood 163.
|
|
No.
262 = n/mq/m (similarly,
through 152).
|
|
§17.
Mood No. 217 = mn/p/p.
|
| |