# FUTURE LOGIC

**CHAPTER 30.
LOGICAL APODOSIS AND DILEMMA.
**

Apodosis is argument involving a hypothetical proposition as major premise, and the affirmation or denial, of one thesis as minor premise, and of the other as conclusion. Needless to say, the two premises must be true, for the conclusion to follow, as in all argument. There are essentially two valid moods, as follows:

If P, then Q |
If P, then Q |

and P |
but not Q |

hence, Q |
hence, not P |

We see that the major premise has to be a positive hypothetical, the minor premise must either affirm the antecedent or deny the consequent, and the conclusion can only, accordingly, affirm the consequent or deny the antecedent. Such argument merely activates, as it were, the dormant power of the hypothetical, when the minor premise is independently found true.

In the first case, the conclusion follows directly; the second case could be reduced to the first, by contraposition of the major premise. The validity of these moods can be demonstrated by reference to the definition of the major premise as ‘the conjunction of P and nonQ is impossible’; it follows that, if P was true without Q being so, or Q was false without P being so, this impossibility fail to be upheld.

We can also present as valid moods, and in like manner validate, moods involving the remaining positive hypothetical forms. These are to some extent interesting in themselves, showing us still different ways otherwise inaccessible information might be indirectly arrived at, or that assumptions might be eliminated. But they are also valuable for the validation of certain arguments involving disjunctive or compound, derivative forms.

If P, then not Q |
If P, then not Q |

and P |
but Q |

hence, not Q |
hence, not P |

If not P, then Q |
If not P, then Q |

and not P |
but not Q |

hence, Q |
hence, P |

If not P, then not Q |
If not P, then not Q |

and not P |
but Q |

hence, not Q |
hence, P |

Other moods of apodosis, including those with a lowercase major premise, such as ‘If P, not-then Q’, have no demonstrable basis or lead to inconsistency, and so are invalid. The following two are specially noteworthy, because they represent oft-made errors of judgement.

If P, then Q |
If P, then Q |

and Q |
but not P |

hence, P. |
hence, not Q. |

These are, to repeat, formally invalid. However, note that they are used for purposes of ‘adduction’, the provision of evidence or counterevidence to support or discredit theories. The positive mood tells us that the more a theory P makes successful predictions, such as Q, the more credible it becomes (though it is not proved); the negative mood tells us that when the presuppositions, such as P, of a theory Q collapse, it is undermined (though it is not disproved). This topic is dealt with in detail in a later chapter.

We can interpret the following expectative propositions as abridged, ‘failed’ apodoses of this kind. ‘Even if P were true, Q would be true’ implies ‘if P, then Q’ and ‘P is false, and Q is true’. ‘Though P is true, Q is true’ implies ‘if not P, then Q’ and ‘P is true and Q is true’.

The following invalid moods also typify fallacious attempts at apodosis; note the negative hypothetical major premises, lowercase forms implying a link yet too weak to yield any definite conclusion. People often fail to first establish a bond between the theses, because they hurriedly assume that no contrary hypotheticals can be put forward.

If P, not-then Q |
If P, not-then Q |

and P |
but not Q |

hence, not Q. |
hence, P. |

In summary, there are 8 valid moods of apodosis. That being out of 8X4X4 = 128 possible moods, the validity rate is 6.25%. Compounds of these premises would yield compound conclusions.

The above described valid moods of logical apodosis involve a factual minor premise: P or Q is true or false. The concept can be broadened to involve minor premises which are modal (this refers of course to logical modality). The following four valid moods are derivable from the basic two by exposition, as usual:

If P, then Q |
If P, then Q |

and necessarily P |
but impossibly Q |

so, necessarily Q |
so, impossibly P |

If P, then Q |
If P, then Q |

and possibly P |
but unnecessarily Q |

so, possibly Q |
so, unnecessarily P |

Think of the major premises as modal conjunctions. For example, in the first of these moods, ‘{P and nonQ} is impossible’ plus ‘P is necessary’ imply that ‘Q is necessary’, for if nonQ ever occurred in any context, we would be faced with a contradiction.

The remaining six factual moods can likewise be used to construct another twelve valid modal moods. The significance of these arguments is of course the transmissibility of logical modality across the hypothetical relation. Hypotheticals per se have problematic theses; under the appropriate conditions, this merely prima facie thinkability is up or down graded to a more definite logical status.

Modal apodosis suggests that ‘if P, then Q’ implies ‘if P**n**,
then Q**n**‘ and ‘if P**p**, then Q**p**‘, where the
suffixes **n** and **p** refer to logical necessity and possibility respectively. However,
note well that the reverse does not follow; the version with nonmodal theses
cannot be inferred from either of the modal-theses versions, since the relation
might conceivably only apply in the collective case or in the indefinite case
without implying a singular and specific equivalent.

Moreover, I see no point in treating hypotheticals with modal theses independently, and I do not think that we ever do so in practise. Since an ordinary hypothetical, with nonmodal theses, contains within it all the requisite information for the solution of problems of a modal nature, we have no need of these implicit forms, and introducing them would be very artificial.

As already mentioned, the valid moods of apodosis can be reformulated to describe arguments involving derivative forms. In particular, note the following examples:

P and/or Q |
P and/or Q |

but not P |
but not Q |

hence, Q |
hence, P |

P or else Q |
P or else Q |

and P |
and Q |

hence, not Q |
hence, not P |

I would not count the rewriting of valid moods in derivative forms as yielding additional valid moods. But they become more significant with multiple disjunctions, which yield more complex conclusions, so long as more than one alternative have not been eliminated.

P and/or Q and/or R and/or S |
P or else Q or else R or else S |

but not P |
and P |

so, Q and/or R and/or S. |
so, not Q and not R and not S. |

In the mood with inclusive disjunction (left), we are given that at least one of the theses listed must be true (i.e. they cannot all be false); so if one is found false, we can conclude that at least one of the remaining ones must be true. In the mood with exclusive disjunction (right), we are given that all but one of the theses listed must be false (i.e. only one can be true); so if one is found true, we can conclude that all the remaining ones must be false. Note that if both major premises are true, i.e. if the theses are both ‘exhaustive’ and ‘mutually exclusive’, then a conclusion is possible from the truth or falsehood of any of the theses, as shown in these two moods.

Most of what we have said about apodosis concerns all hypotheticals, whether of unknown logical basis, normal or abnormal. However, apodosis with a necessary or impossible minor premise and conclusion (as shown earlier) obviously concerns abnormal hypotheticals in particular, because the basis is implied to be not contingent at all. In contrast, apodosis with a possibility or unnecessity as its minor premise, teaches us the logic specific to normal hypotheticals, which are contingency-based.

Thus, we have here a foundation for the specialized study of normal or abnormal hypotheticals, an entry point into the topic; I will not however here pursue the matter further. The same can be said for disjunctives.

Colloquially, we call a ‘dilemma’, any impossible choice. ‘If I do this, I’ve had it; if I do that, I’ve had it — so I’ve had it anyway (and it is no use my doing this or that)’. This is indeed a case of dilemma, but in logic the expression is understood more broadly, to cover more positive situations. Thus, often, in action contexts, when we are faced with a choice of means to get to a goal, we might resolve the dilemma by using all available means, even at the cost of redundancies, so as to ensure that the goal is attained one way or the other.

Although dilemmatic argument may be derived from apodosis and syllogism, it has a certain autonomy of cogency and is commonly used in practise, so it deserves some analysis. Note well first that the disjunction used in dilemma is the ‘and/or’ type (not the ‘or else’ type), even if in practise this is not always made clear.

The hypotheticals which constitute the major premise of a dilemma are called its ‘horns’; they give an impression of presenting us with a predicament. The minor premise is a disjunction; it is said to ‘take the dilemma by its horns’. The conclusion is said to ‘resolve’ the dilemma.

a.
*Simple* dilemma consists of a
conjunction of subjunctives as major premise, a disjunctive as minor premise,
and a (relative) categorical as conclusion. It normally involves three theses.
Tradition has identified two valid moods.

(i)
**The simple constructive dilemma.**

If M, then P — and — if N, then P

but M and/or N

hence, P

This is proved by reduction ad absurdum through two negative apodoses, as follows:

If M, then P — and — if N, then P (original major premise)

and not P (denial of conclusion)

so, not M and not N (contrary of minor).

Alternatively, we could regard the simple constructive dilemma as summarizing a number of positive apodoses, with reference to the matrix of alternative conjunctions underlying the minor premise:

If M, then P — and — if N, then P |
(common major) |
|||||

but ‘M (and not N)’ |
or ‘N (and not M)’ |
or ‘M and N’ |
(alternative minors) |
|||

whence, P |
whence, P |
whence, P and P |
(common conclusion). |
|||

This shows the essential continuity between the concepts of apodosis and dilemma, note.

(ii)
**The simple destructive dilemma.**

If P, then M — and — if P, then N

but not M and/or not N

hence, not P

This is proved by reduction ad absurdum through two apodoses, as follows:

If P, then M — and — if P, then N (original major premise)

and P (denial of conclusion)

so, M and N (contrary of minor).

In contrast, the following two arguments would be fallacious:

If M, then P — and — if N, then P |
If P, then M — and — if P, then N |

but not M and/or not N |
but M and/or N |

hence, not P |
hence, P |

b.
*Complex* dilemma consists of a
conjunction of subjunctives as major premise, and disjunctives as minor premise
and conclusion. Tradition has identified two valid moods. It normally involves
four theses, though two are occasionally merely mutual antitheses.

(i)
**The complex constructive dilemma.**

If M, then P — and — if N, then Q

but M and/or N

hence, P and/or Q

This can be proved by reductio ad absurdum, as in simple dilemma. Alternatively, we may analyze it through a sorites, as follows:

If not P, then not M (contrapose left horn)

if not M, then N (from minor)

if N, then Q (right horn)

therefore, if not P, then Q (transform to conclusion).

(ii)
**The complex destructive dilemma.**

If P, then M — and — if Q, then N

but not M and/or not N

hence, not P and/or not Q

This can be proved by reductio ad absurdum, as in simple dilemma. Alternatively, we may analyze it through a sorites, as follows:

If not not P, then P (axiomatic)

if P, then M (left horn)

if M, then not not M (axiomatic)

if not not M, then not N, (from minor)

if not N, then not Q (contrapose right horn)

therefore, if not not P, then not Q (transform to conclusion).

In contrast, the following two arguments would be fallacious:

If M, then P — and — if N, then Q |
If P, then M — and — if Q, then N |

but not M and/or not N |
but M and/or N |

hence, not P and/or not Q |
hence, P and/or Q |

c. Concerning both the simple and complex valid moods, note that, formally speaking, we could use as minor premises the equivalent forms ‘not M or else not N’ and ‘M or else N’, respectively, in the valid constructive and destructive moods. But this would not reflect the true format of dilemma. The goal here is only to describe actual thought processes, not to accumulate useless formulas. However, in view of the similarity in appearance between these valid substitutes, and the minor premises of the invalid moods, it is well to be aware of the possibility of confusion.

A *special case* of complex constructive dilemma is worthy of note,
because people sometimes argue in that way. Its form is:

If M, then {P and nonQ} — and — if N, then {nonP and Q}

but M and/or N

hence, either P or Q.

We may understand this argument as follows: contrapose the left horn to ‘if not-{P and nonQ}, then nonM’; the minor premise means ‘if nonM, then N’; these propositions, together with the right horn, form a sorites whose conclusion is ‘if not-{P and nonQ}, then {nonP and Q}’. But we know on formal grounds, for any two propositions, that ‘if {P and nonQ}, then not-{nonP and Q}’. Therefore, ‘either {P and nonQ} or {nonP and Q}’ is true, which can in turn be rephrased as ‘either P or Q’.

Thus, what this argument achieves is the elimination of the remaining two formal alternatives, {P and Q} and {nonP and nonQ}; the combinations {P and nonQ} and {nonP and Q} become not merely incompatible, but also exhaustive. There is no destructive version of this argument, because its result would only be ‘if {P and nonQ}, then not-{nonP and Q}’, which is formally given anyway.

There is also no equivalent argument in simple dilemma. But note that if we substitute nonM for N in the one above, we obtain something akin to it: if M, then {P and nonQ}, and if nonM, then {nonP and Q}; but either M or nonM; hence, either P or Q. This is not really simple dilemma because the antecedents are not identical; but there is a resemblance, in that only three theses are involved. Also, the minor premise here is redundant, since formally true, so the conclusion may be viewed as an eduction from the compound major premise.

Also note, simple and complex dilemmas may consist of more than two
horns. The following are examples of *multi-horned*
simple dilemma:

Constructive:

If B and/or C and/or D… is/are true, then A is true

but B and/or C and/or D…etc. is/are true

therefore A is true.

Destructive:

If A is true, then B and C and D …etc. are true

but B and/or C and/or D…etc. is/are false

therefore A is false’.

Similarly with other sorts of arrays. This shows that we can view the horns of dilemmas as forming a single hypothetical proposition whose antecedent and/or consequent is/are conjunctive or disjunctive. It follows that simple and complex dilemma should not be viewed as essentially distinct forms of argument; rather, simple dilemma is a limiting case of complex dilemma, the process involved being essentially one of purging our knowledge of extraneous alternatives.

The commonly employed form *‘Whether
P or Q, R’* is normally understood as an abridged simple constructive
dilemma, meaning ‘If P, then R, and if Q, then R, but P and/or Q, hence R
anyway’. However, we should be careful with it, because in some cases we intend
it to dissociate R from P and Q, meaning ‘If P not-then R, and if Q not-then R,
but R’. Note well the difference. In the former case, the independence is an
outcome of multiple dependence; in the latter case, the independence signals
lack of connection.

Dilemma, especially its ultimate, simple version, is a very significant
form of reasoning, in that *it is capable
of yielding factual results from purely problematic theses* (implicit in
hypotheticals or disjunctives). Like the philosopher’s stone of the alchemist,
it turns lead into gold. Without this device, knowledge would ever be
conjectural, a mass of logically related but unresolvable problems.

Note however that the conclusion of a simple dilemma is still, logically, only factual in status. A thesis only acquires the status of logical necessity or impossibility, when it is implied or denied by all eventualities; this means, in dilemma, when the exhaustiveness of the alternatives in the premises is itself logically incontingent (rather than a function of the present context of knowledge). The significance of this will become more transparent as we proceed further, and deal with paradoxical logic.

The so-called ‘*equally cogent* rebuttal’ is a special case of dilemma, worthy of
analysis in this context. It happens in debate that a seemingly cogent dilemma
may be rebutted by a seemingly equally cogent dilemma.

a. With regard to complex dilemma, though the arguments are indeed equally cogent, the impression of ‘rebuttal’ is illusory, due to a misconception of the opposition between the conclusions.

If M, then P — and — if N, then Q

but M and/or N

hence, P and/or Q

If P, then M — and — if Q, then N

but not M and/or not N

hence, not P and/or not Q

Clearly, the major premises are compatible; taken together, they signify two reciprocal subjunctions. The minor premises are also compatible, since they mean, respectively, ‘if nonM, then N’ and ‘if not nonM, then nonN (i.e. if M, then nonN)’; taken together, they signify contradictive disjunction between M and N.

Likewise, for the conclusions: they are not inconsistent with each other, but taken together mean that P and Q are contradictory. So in fact the two dilemma do not exclude each other, it is formally quite possible for them to be both true. If indeed all the propositions involved are true, they merely together constitute a compound dilemma which is quite valid.

We seem to be faced with equally cogent arguments yielding conflicting conclusions, but this is an erroneous impression, because in fact the conclusions are consistent. They may seem to conflict, because they refer to contradictory theses, P and Q, nonP and nonQ; but the disjunctive way in which these theses are connected, makes the conclusions complementary, rather than inconsistent.

Restating the entire arguments in standard hypothetical syllogisms can be helpful. The conclusions should be viewed as ‘If nonP, then Q’ and ‘If P, then nonQ’, respectively, to avoid confusion. If the result persists in seeming unintelligible, the wording may be misleading or there may be a factually erroneous premise.

The frustration underlying such arguments, why they are experienced as somehow in conflict — is due to the fact that each party assumed the contradictory of the other’s assumption to be tacitly included in his or her own premises. Thus, it is the compound each implicitly assumed, rather than the explicit elements, which each finds rightly denied by the other.

In some cases, the presumptions are inductively legitimate for the context each has at hand, following the principle that what is not found connected may be assumed unconnected, so that the face-off with the rebuttal view indeed intimates a possible error somewhere in one’s own views. Someone with an open mind does not feel threatened by such an eventuality, but may give some attention to the problem without resentment, if the issue is sufficiently interesting.

b.
With regard to simple dilemma, the rebuttal is, on formal grounds, *never*
‘equally cogent’, so it should not surprise us that the conclusions are
contradictory.

If M, then P — and — if N, then P

but M and/or N

hence, P

If P, then M — and — if P, then N

but not M and/or not N

hence, not P.

Although the two major premises are formally compatible with each other, and the two minor premises are formally compatible with each other, the conclusions are indubitably incompatible with each other. What this tells us is that the premises, though severally consistent, are taken together inconsistent. They are not, therefore, equally cogent dilemmas; one or both must contain a factual error.

In other words, a simple dilemma is not logically valid, if the horns of the major premise are reversible hypotheticals and the minor premise is a contradictive disjunctive. The compound propositions ‘Only if M, then P — and — only if N, then P’ and ‘Either M or N’ cannot coexist. This may be shown as follows:

The first minor ‘M and/or N’ taken alone allows for the conjunction ‘M and N’, while excluding ‘nonM and nonN’. The second minor ‘not M and/or not N’ taken alone allows for the conjunction ‘nonM and nonN’, while excluding ‘M and N’. When these disjunctions are conjoined together, they mean ‘either M or N’ which still allows for ‘M and nonN’ or ‘nonM and N’, but now formally excludes both ‘M and N’ and ‘nonM and nonN’.

Yet, in the case of M and nonN being both true, the left horn of the first major and the right horn of the second, would yield conflicting conclusions: P and nonP; and, in the case of nonM and N being both true, the left horn of the second major and the right horn of the first, would yield conflicting conclusions: P and nonP.

Thus, rebuttal of simple dilemma is formally unfeasible with contingency-based hypotheticals. With an incontingent theses P or nonP, this paradox is acceptable, because if P is necessary or impossible, the arrival at its negation does not cause a serious conflict, since then the necessary theses is implied by its impossible antithesis. Equally cogent simple dilemmas are therefore feasible in abnormal logic specifically, even though they cannot arise in normal logic. It follows that in the logic of unspecified-basis hypotheticals, these are conditionally possible.

The foregoing means that the valid moods of simple dilemma given initially were not as fully defined and unconditional as they should have been, in other respects, besides.

For a simple dilemma to be valid, one or both of the horns in the major premise must be implicitly a subalternation, rather than an implicance (whereas we left them open as implications); and/or the minor premise must be implicitly a subcontrariety (if constructive) or contrariety (if destructive) between the theses in question, rather than a contradiction (whereas we left it open as a not fully defined disjunction).